The wholesale and retail market of refined oil is expected to "dive" in advance
the wholesale and retail market of refined oil is expected to "dive" in advance
China Construction machinery information
Guide: various signs show that by June 9, China's refined oil price adjustment window is likely to open again. At that time, the maximum retail price of refined oil is expected to be reduced by 500 yuan/ton. According to China's current refined oil price adjustment mechanism, the oil price adjustment needs to meet two conditions, one is that the weighted change rate of crude oil in the three places exceeds 4%, and the other is
various signs show that by June 9, China's refined oil price adjustment window is likely to open again. At that time, the maximum retail price of refined oil is expected to be reduced by 500 yuan/ton
according to China's current refined oil price adjustment mechanism, the oil price adjustment needs to meet two conditions: one is that the weighted change rate of crude oil in the three places exceeds 4%, and the other is that the price adjustment cycle reaches 22 working days
-- the trend of "decentralization" is obvious. At present, the first condition has been met, and the crude oil change rate of the three places has approached the -5% range on May 28. Since the NDRC last adjusted the oil price on May 10, the second condition needs to be met on June 8. Analysts told the daily economy that the downward trend of international crude oil prices is difficult to change. In the next nine working days, it is expected that the crude oil change rate in the three places will be difficult to return to the "red line" of -4%
in the face of the impending reduction of a new round of oil prices, the national wholesale and retail market prices of refined oil began to "dive" in an all-round way. At present, the wholesale price of diesel in many regions has fallen below the allocation price of local diesel regions, and the wholesale and direct sales of sales companies have fallen into losses
in the retail market, the preferential range of diesel price can reach about 0.3 ~0.38 yuan/liter, while the retail price of 93# gasoline in private gas stations in Beijing, Guangdong and other places even has a preferential range of 0.5 yuan/liter
oil prices are expected to fall twice in June
last week, the change rate of the three places fell below -4%. As of May 28, the change rates of the three places measured by Anxin Siwang energy, jinyindao and zhuochuang information were -4.9 respectively, while people measured rubber materials by 5%, -4.69% and-4.60%
now, the window of domestic refined oil retail price reduction is open. It only needs to meet the price adjustment cycle of 22 working days, that is, it may usher in the second retail price reduction this year
zhuochuang information analyst Li Qian analyzed to the daily economy that the current average price of crude oil in the three places is $109.23/barrel. In the next few days, only when the average price of crude oil rebounds by $10/1 and the printing quality barrel is better, the change rate of the three places will return to above -4% at the same time when it meets 22 working days. However, it is unlikely that the average price of the three places will rebound by more than $10/barrel in just nine working days
international crude oil futures have fallen for four consecutive weeks. Li Qian said that the current market's economic concerns about Europe, the United States and China cannot be completely removed, and in the short term, it is still difficult for international oil prices to return to the channel of continuous rise
the above analysts said that based on the current international oil price level, the weighted average change rate of crude oil in the three places will reach -7% to -8% next month, and the oil price will be reduced by 500 yuan/ton or more
Zhongyu information analyst Wang Jintao predicts that the reduction range is 450 yuan to 500 yuan/ton. If measured by the range of 500 yuan/ton, the retail price of gasoline standard will be reduced by about 0.36 yuan/liter and diesel by about 0.43 yuan/liter
wholesale and retail prices have comprehensively "dived"
the expected reduction in the price of refined oil has severely suppressed the gasoline and diesel market
Zhongyu information analyst Gao Chengsha said that the completion progress of sales tasks of PetroChina and Sinopec in May was poor. The completion progress of most sales companies was less than 50%. The situation of private traders was also poor, and many manufacturers faced inventory backlog. According to statistics, at the end of April, China's gasoline inventory increased by 5.3% month on month, and diesel inventory fell by 3.1% month on month
at present, the wholesale price of diesel in many regions has fallen below the allocation price of local diesel regions. According to Anxun Siwang energy monitoring, the lowest price of national standard diesel oil in Beijing reached 8100 yuan/ton last Friday. On Monday, China is still in an important period of strategic opportunities for development. PetroChina and Sinopec continued to reduce the price of diesel oil by 80 yuan to 150 yuan/ton in Beijing and Tianjin. Both companies listed fell to 8100 yuan/ton, and there are still discounts for actual transactions. While the regional transfer price of Sinopec No. 0 national III standard diesel is 8300 yuan/ton, the market wholesale price has been lower than the regional transfer price of 200 yuan/ton, and the wholesale and direct sales of sales companies have fallen into losses
according to insiders, at present, the market is not enthusiastic about purchase and sales, and there is no sign of stock in all trading parties
at the same time, the price war in the domestic retail market is becoming more and more intense. According to the retail price monitoring of 2000 gas stations in 30 provinces in China, the preferential range of diesel price in the retail market can reach about 0.3 yuan to 0.38 yuan/liter, while in mainstream markets such as Beijing and Guangdong, the retail price of 93 # gasoline in private gas stations even has a preferential range of 0.5 yuan/liter, and the preferential range of 97 # gasoline price is even greater
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